Mike's Blog Roundup

Amygdala: Polls, scraping bottom, and prisoners in GWB's America

darrelplant: McCain's tenuous grasp on economic reality

Brad Delong: John McCain's new mortgage plan is worse than I had imagined, even given what I know  about John McCain

A couple useful electoral projections sites: FiveThirtyEight and 3BlueDudes

Armchair Generalist: Democrats slip into stupidity

Go over and wish Blue Gal a speedy recovery!




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21 comments

he'll probably be impeached within two years.

There's no way I can see the Oiligarchs and Pollutocrats conceding their 40-vote veto. It's highly unlikely that the Dims will capture 60 Seante seats, and even if they do, there's the 'blue dawg' contingent, consisting of 4-9 unreliables: both Nelsons, Lincoln, Rockefeller, Landrieu, Carper, Salazar and Baucus. Plus Loserman, who'll become even more 'vital' if the Senate is divided 59 or 60 to 40-41...

BTW: First

At Daily Kos they have a very different view of the 60 seat majority - they feel from the trends that it will be a slam dunk.

(N/t)

Without Phil Gramm propping him up as a co-conspirator toward the very Deregulation which is tanking this country right now, McCain wouldn't have the first clue. That's was apparent at his fave format, the town hall on Tuesday.

I believe that John McCain knows precisely what he's done to the economy which is why he tried to muddy the waters of the upcoming Keating Five analogy to what's happening right now in our financial markets with slime and sleaze.

What's occurred is that people can clearly see the direct connection between what McCain did during the Keating Five Scandal to what Phil Gramm and McCain have done to "game the system" to result in this level of financial meltdown. People are educated today thanks to the internet.

The internet's the only thing keeping the people honest. Surely, the media prostitutes and whores have much to lose since they've been "bribbed by Bush and McCain" into silence.

here's some work from others:

http://freewayblogger.blogspot.com/2008/10/ne...

there should be more of this.

mcgramps wouldn't have to scrape bottom if he'd change his Depends more often.

)O(

Calling his base "my fellow prisoners" pretty much said it all. This man is clueless and his invasive melanoma is affecting his brain. Fact is, everyone behind him looked aghast (his daughter and Palin) while he just rambled on - totally unaware of what he'd just uttered.

Fact: John McCain is "totally unaware" of any semblance of reality at this point and is ready for a nursing home - not the White House.

Andrew Sullivan found this picture, and it's just too cool :

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/.shared...

Bassets for Obama
Thu, 10/09/2008 - 08:55 — Dutton Peabody (not verified)
Andrew Sullivan found this picture, and it's just too cool :

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/.shared...

Well, I'll be a son-of-a-bassett!!!

)O(

Each time I see the photo of John McCain, ala Keating Five fame, on the right hand side of these threads, it reminds me of a John McCain who once was. I can no longer even find that same face or tiniest shred of resemblance to the potato head who stands before us today.

The reaction I get to seeing how this man was once young and vital compared to the sleazy individual whom we are seeing on the stump and on Fox Snooze these days is an appalling contrast.

Is John McCain still here? I don't think so. What we see is a zombie of his former self propped up with memory enhancing herbs, a sputtering, erratic shell of his former self. It's pretty revolting to witness what's happening to this man whom we once called our "war hero".

Now even the Veterans groups are dissing him for having missed 7 of the 9 votes for vet benefits.

You are aware that the Keating 5 was one of the worst scandals in the history of the senate, right? And you miss *THAT* John McCain?

Sure he looked younger, but a younger piece of shit prick... is still that: a piece of shit prick.

The more McCain tries to divert attention from his complicity in our present economic crisis, the stronger the people focus on the economy.

It's just desserts that McCain loses the presidency for having his fingerprints all over what's happening to our economy. He dubbed himself as "Mr. Deregulator" in Washington so now he will suffer the consequences of his boasting.

Regardless of how many ways these frauds attempt to distract the american people, when it comes to voting on Nov. 4, the ONLY thing which matters to the people is the "economy" and in every respect, when it comes to anything economic, John McCain loses as a co-conspirator to Phil Gramm's demonic activities as well as his own complicity in precisely what's occurring right now.

of it. Despite all the controversy over Hart the guy in fact for whatever reason selfish or not is delivering at this very moment (about time someone does) the kind of attitude and clarity we need to move ahead so we can transform this freaking mess.

Rare is the catastrophe that does not offer some promise. The key is having the genius to discover hope within the rubble.

An argument can be made that the current financial disaster offers a future president, Obama in this case, the chance to transform the U.S. economy. A weakened Wall Street and a chastened conservative community are not now in a position to resist thoughtful and sober re-regulation of markets. The Reagan era (actually Nixon-Reagan-Bush) is over and with it the arrogance that laissez faire always presumes.

But recreation of another Rooseveltian period of 1932 to 1940, with a new set of rules for intricate financial institutions, is not enough. We must transform our economy from one of consumption to one of production, invest much more heavily in new technologies, research, and invention, and start the process of creating a post-carbon economy. The current wreckage must not simply be put back together to recreate the old economy. It must be pushed out of the way to make space for a new, 21st century economy.

A follow up poster also comments.

All of this is on the money, however it neglects a couple of obvious roadblocks.

First, because of the de-regulation of the Communications Industry, journalistic integrity has been subjugated to corporate interests, as well as allowing for the advent of slime-slinging b.s. artists (Faux News, Limbaugh, Hannity, O'Reilly) posing as journalists who prior to the de-regulation, would have been subject to serious fines or loss of license for the inaccuracy of their "reporting." Economists have been warning about this crisis for YEARS and no one chose to pay any attention.

Of course the little minds of the Country First hypocrites will bitch and screech SOCIALISM!

Well to BAD. Go ahead and rot in your lounge chair clinging to the past while collecting entitlements convincing yourself all the while "I'm an independent person! I don't depend on no one! And no one every gave me nuttin!"

There needs to be similar re-regulation and break-up of the Communications Industry monopolies in tandem with what we're doing in the financial markets and a HUGE investment in the quality of and access to education. Without these two fundamental pillars, both of which deal with information and the ability to critically process it, we may as well just throw in the towel.

One year ago the DJIA hit 14,093.08.

Our pension, I remember ye well.

Good stuff, all. Delong's piece was especially useful on McCain's latest stunt.

http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/1...

Pelosi in on the whole thing. Obama is a douche for voting for the FISA bs as well as everyone else. mccain is a douche for not showing up to vote even though he prolly would have voted for it.

FiveThirtyEight.com is the best, THE BEST election projection website on the internet.

If you have not visited FiveThirtyEight yet, please do. It is run by a liberal, which makes it all the better. The guy who runs it is named Nate Silver. When he is not doing election analysis he works for Baseball Prospectus, which is a prediction based baseball magazine which comes out before each MLB season. He accurately predicted that the Chicago WS would not make the playoffs 1 year after winning the WS (besides predicting correctly their exact record) and he also accurately predicted that the Cubs would not win the WS this year.

The guy employs his baseball predictive techniques to the election cycle, using all the polling data to predict how each state goes. He goes far and beyond just the standard averaging method. You know how polls release PDF's with breakdown of age, race, median income and all that? Most of us ignore that and look at just the most important number (who is leading who and by how much). Nate, though, uses that data to appropriately weigh each poll based on this extra data, while also removing any sort of partisan bias from polling companies (right lean for SurveyUSA, left lean for Public Polling Policy, etc.).

I suggest you visit his site every day because he updates his numbers for each new day's worth of polls.

21 comments

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